Overview of the latest economic events in the Czech Republic

The Prague Stock Exchange ended Monday with its sixth consecutive decline - the longest downtrend since the end of 2024. PX weakened by 0.31 per cent to 2,591.61 points, while market activity remained below average. Stocks provided the main downward thrust Erste Bank, Moneta Money Bank a zbrojovky Colt CZ. On the contrary, titles prevented bigger losses. Komerční banky and energy groups ČEZ, which have maintained stability despite global jitters. The Czech koruna weakened slightly against the euro during the day in line with the generally cautious mood on European markets.

The sixth consecutive decline reflects a combination of external and internal factors: the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz and uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran peace talks are worsening the outlook for the energy-intensive Czech industry. This is compounded by concerns about future export performance at a time when Germany's main customer has cut its GDP growth forecast for this year to 0.5 per cent. Adding internal pressure to the index is the upcoming earnings season for domestic companies - investors are waiting for quarterly reports that are yet to show how much the energy shock has seeped into margins.

Foreign investment

Groundbreaking news from the world of technology and artificial intelligence came on Monday: Microsoft a OpenAI jointly announced a major rewrite of their partnership agreement. Microsoft gives up exclusive access to models and products OpenAI - which has so far guaranteed him the right to be the only one to sell instruments OpenAI via a cloud platform Azure while granting him priority access to the startup's technology. Under the new agreement, he will have Microsoft intellectual property license OpenAI until 2032, and this licence will now be non-exclusive.

Jako protihodnotu Microsoft přestane OpenAI pay a share of the proceeds from the resale of its instruments. The most famous product OpenAI - chatbotu ChatGPT - This opens the door to competing cloud platforms, including Amazon Web Services a Google Cloud. Akcie Microsoftu depreciated by about one percent after the announcement, just two days before the quarterly results were released.

The rewrite of the agreement does not take place in a vacuum. OpenAI faces increasing competition from Anthropic - creator of the Claude AI model, which closed a $30 billion Series G funding round at a $380 billion valuation in February 2026. According to Bloomberg and The Information Anthropic Considering a stock market listing as early as October 2026; as lead bank of the IPO they are in talks Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase a Morgan Stanley.

The total volume of the offer could exceed $60 billion. Annual sales Anthropic exceeded $30 billion - surpassing sales for the first time in history OpenAI - with 80 percent of revenue coming from corporate customers, eight of which are Fortune 10.

French manufacturer of automotive components Forvia sold the entire interior production division - dashboards, door panels, centre consoles - to the fund Apollo Global Management for €1.82 billion (approximately $2.1 billion). The division comprises 59 factories, eight research centers and over 31,000 employees in 19 countries and generated sales of 4.82 billion euros last year, or about 18 percent of the group's total revenue.

Net proceeds from the sale will reduce debt Forvia by at least €1 billion. Shares Forvia on the Paris stock exchange rose 3.5 percent after the announcement. The transaction is a direct result of IGNITE's strategy to move into high-value technology products - particularly electrical systems and ADAS sensors - and reduce exposure to traditional components, demand for which is declining as the automotive market becomes more electrified.

Significant events outside the Czech Republic with global impact

The Strait of Hormuz, a key artery of world energy trade, has effectively come to a standstill. Agency Bloomberg on Monday published shipping data that reveals a dramatic picture: on Saturday only six ships left the strait, on Sunday two and one arrived. Under normal conditions, around 135 vessels pass through the strait every day. This is a direct result of the simultaneous blockade by Tehran - the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is stopping and turning back ships - and the US naval blockade of Iranian ports. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump cancelled a trip by negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan, where a second round of indirect peace talks was due to take place.

This stalemate was immediately apparent in the oil markets. North Sea oil Brent was up more than two percent Monday morning, approaching $108 a barrel. US WTI was up nearly two percent and above $96 a barrel. Over the past week, it added WTI zhruba 13 procent a Brent nearly 17 percent - one of the largest weekly increases in history. Investment Bank Goldman Sachs on Sunday raised its estimate of the average price Brent for the fourth quarter of this year to $90 per barrel (from the original $80) and moved the outlook for normalisation of Gulf exports from mid-May to the end of June. Analysts across the market warn: even if Hormuz opens tomorrow, production outages and damaged infrastructure - including the group's Qatar LNG plant QatarEnergy - will not allow a rapid return of supplies to pre-war levels.

gnews.cz - GH

Pozn.: YTD (Year-to-Date) comparison of results since the beginning of this year; YoY (Year-over-Year) comparison with the same period last year

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